On 26th of January,1950 India formerly announced to go for a sojourn. A journey which was yet to be seen, but the inception of what the nation felt during years of struggle for Freedom, Independence, Self-Governance or Swaraj, Equality, Justice, Progress, Security and above all a Pride, pride to call our soil OUR’s.
We the people of India, today stand confronting a doorway leading to a new era. As we are on the verge of entering this new era, we shall re-conform the inception sown by the founding fathers of the Nation. The fathers who saw the nation to become a global power, not a superpower. As our cultural values teach us to live in peace, in constant flux of improvising ourselves and help those who are in dire need. Many people argue that India, with present conditions, can never be a Superpower. I want to re-align them and counter-state that we never aim to be one. India, as always, wants to live in harmony along with other states. Though, India has acquired, over the period, certain exceptional abilities which is hard to find with our cohorts. India is home to multi-cultures, multi-lingual, multi-religious, values and people from various civilisations are living together, which clearly makes her unique. India has tremendous affinity to absorb and share with the world. It is clear from the fact that India is land of one of the most accepted religions, thoughts of which are still reforming the world.
Since establishing our republic, we have been crossing lot of impediments. From the Wars with Pakistan, China, and internal instability, today we stand as the most reliable and unanimously accepted Republic Democracy. Today even the oldest Democracies are leaning to us, to learn the ability of reflecting Values and Virtues of different Races, Religions, Sex, Castes, and ethnicities. After the 2014 General Election, the New Prime Minister is constantly re-affirming the people’s, of the nation and also the world, faith in the country’s ideals. The years have been turbulent since 1947, we face new challenges today some of which could be traced back to the reluctance of the past. Now we have learnt to flow with the world, we learnt to reassess ourselves and walk the way all does. With the Pragmatic vision of the PM Modi, India is claiming its place. A place of future global power.
“Rome’s eyes were opened by the world it encountered in the East. Asia had already acquired a reputation for lazy luxury and fine living which was indescribably wealthy” – Cicero
India can’t neglect its strategic location which connects West with the East. East, as per archaeological sources, have always been ahead during the historic times. From the great civilisations of Indus Valley to great Mauryan and Gupta Empire, this sub-continent was always well connected with west through trade exchanges. The Asian wealth was so enormous that once Cicero wrote,”Rome’s eyes were opened by the world it encountered in the East. Asia had already acquired a reputation for lazy luxury and fine living which was indescribably wealthy” . It was Asia that taught the Romans and the Persians what luxury actually means. Similarly, today again the West is looking onto Asia, thats why they call Twenty First century- “The Asian Century”.
The whole world is in flux of change, this change is not natural but created out of the world order made by the Liberals or Capitalism. After the fall of the USSR and end of the cold war, US came up as the sole leader. Over the years, US tried to maintain its hegemony. Its ideals of Equality, Justice and Pursuit of Happiness roared all around and established the triumph of liberal ideology. But now looking at the future US trajectory, after the Inauguration and Sworn in of President Donald J. Trump, the vagueness of the liberal achievements in maintaining the world order have once again arrived. From putting in the Protectionist measures, building wall on Mexican border leading and furthering on to “Making America Great Again”, the uncertainties are back again. What would be the US policies towards the “War against Terrorism”, towards Afghanistan, Syria, and towards one and only Deep State- Pakistan. Though many experts are expecting that President Trump would continue to deepen Strategic ties with India, but what if US shifts its policy? What if Trump binds a deal with China? ( as he , challenging the “One China Policy”, calling China a Currency manipulator and so on, looking forth to negotiate with China once again). On the other hand, Pakistan is aligning with China and Russia to get into a new rapprochement with Taliban. Recent development of cordial relations between the Troika, Russia-China-Pakistan, raised many eyebrows in New Delhi. Afghanistan is strategically important, as it is the ISI’s and JuD (Jamaat-ud-Dawa) as well as JeM (Jaish-e-Mohammad) factory of Terrorist. The region is again facing waves of extremism and an unstable Afghanistan is a threat to Northern Indian States (esp. J&K). Furthermore, our close partner Russia have given up the arms embargo over Pakistan and will be supplying Mi-35M Helicopters too. This sudden change in President Putin’s Policies are creating suspicion to New Delhi. The re-entry of Russia in Afghanistan replays the past memories of cold war era. In contrast to this, Ukraine’s Deputy PM Stepan Kubiv joined India’s republic day celebrations. Ukraine’s ambassador to India have told that there will going to be Bilateral discussions. It is quite clear that India too is re-aligning itself and deepening ties with Ukraine, as Russia continuous to get close with Pakistan. A note for those who are not aware that Russia and Ukraine are going through disturbed relation owing to the Russia’s annexation of Crimea.
President Trump have shown affinity to re-settle US-Russia relation, which were on a downward trajectory since the Crimean issue, Russian role in Syria, and most importantly hacking of the Hillary Clinton’s mails that benefited President Trump. Furthermore, there is no need to tell more about the Trump’s rage with China, if all remains as it is India is set to gain. But being pragmatic, it is really of concern if something went the other way. President Xi’s policies are putting Chinese economy back on track. China has achieved a lot with decades of double digit growth and all it requires is to maintain more than average growth to avoid slug in the way. Xi’s policy have already put Obama administration under the pressure. It was President Obama’s policies of mellowing up with China (2005 onwards) gave it opportunity to underwrite US dominance. Later when Obama realised the Chinese increasing aggressiveness in the region, went with the “ Asia Pivot “ and furthering engagement with India.
” What is clearer is that a quarter century later, we are transitioning to more unpredictable times. It is neither the age of global hegemons nor the age of multipolarity, but rather the age of regional powers…” – Rakesh Sood
In recent article Rakesh Sood wrote,” (now) What is clearer is that a quarter century later, we are transitioning to more unpredictable times. It is neither the age of global hegemons nor the age of multipolarity, but rather the age of regional powers…”. During the Rise of Roman empire, it was in constant struggle with the Sassanid Dynasty (Persian Empire). They were in struggle to acquire and become a regional hegemon. Came the day when there was a period of climate change which led to the tribal people living in the North to travel South in search of food. The tribes, as history speaks, Huns, Avars, and others were in constant revolt with these empires. The tribal people were so strong that it brought Roman Empire to the brink of collapse, as they took control of the Mediterranean regions which was the breadbasket. These tribes later were driven back when the Emperor (Roman King) and Shah (Perisan King) joined hands. What fascinates me here that many believes History repeats itself, going with this Asian-European historical relationship, is it possible for US and Russia to set out a deal or US and China? If so happened will we enter again back into Bi-polar world. What would be the implications of it? How India will manage its future aspirations?
A high-time for diplomacy is coming in the future ahead, be it India or US or China and Russia or any other. Asia, as in the past, is golden basket which every empire wants to cherish. It would be bit early to decide the future but what we have at present is set of strategies to follow. India can’t rely on US or Russia to counter the Rising China and its influence. As old saying goes, ‘ Never use someone’s shoulder to Fire’, India should and must design its own strategy and pave its path.
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